Fuel Prices and Shipping Costs — How BAF Affects Your Quote

The 2020 IMO sulphur cap reset bunker pricing onto VLSFO (Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil) for most non-scrubber vessels. Crude oil moves, but the VLSFO crack spread drives the gap between Brent and the price your vessel actually pays.

Here is the detail that matters for anyone exporting a vehicle from the UK right now. Bunker fuel is typically the single biggest variable cost in your shipping quote — and BAF moves on a monthly cycle as carriers pass through changes in VLSFO prices at Singapore, Rotterdam and Fujairah. The shipping market reacts to these signals through three levers: vessel deployment, fuel surcharges (BAF) and currency-adjusted destination charges. Each of those moves on a different clock, so the headline rate you see today is a weighted average of decisions made by carriers, port operators and customs authorities over the previous 30–90 days.

For the typical UK exporter — trader, dealer, returning expat or private owner — the practical impact lands in four places: the freight quote, the transit time, the documentation list and the destination duty bill. Below is how each is moving and what you should do about it.

RoRo remains the cheapest and fastest option on the major lanes from Southampton, Sheerness and Tilbury — Lagos, Tema, Mombasa, Dar es Salaam, Durban, Jebel Ali, Hamad, Fremantle, Baltimore and Halifax all sail weekly. Container is the right call when the vehicle is a non-runner, a classic worth protecting, a supercar above £40k, or when you want to ship personal effects with the car.

When market conditions tighten — fuel spikes, vessel diversions, port congestion — the gap between RoRo and shared container narrows and shared container often becomes the smarter pick on a risk-adjusted basis. We re-run both options on every quote so you can see the live trade-off rather than assuming yesterday's answer is still right.

Whatever the market is doing, the UK export paperwork is unchanged: V5C original to surrender (or notify), proof of ownership, photo ID, HMRC C88/NES export entry, and (for trade exports) commercial invoice. At the destination, the bill of lading, original V5C surrender confirmation, valuation evidence, and either a Form M (Nigeria), IDF (Kenya), CCVR (Ghana) or equivalent customs declaration are required.

If duty regimes or age limits change at the destination, we update our destination guides within 48 hours and flag the change on every affected quote. Always check the destination page before booking so you have the latest age, emissions and Left/Right-Hand-Drive rules.

Our cost outlook is built from carrier rate filings, fuel-cost forecasts (Brent + IFO380 / VLSFO crack spread), GBP/USD and GBP/EUR forwards, plus port-congestion data from MarineTraffic and the destination clearing agents we work with daily. Expect modest fluctuation week to week and book early on tight-capacity lanes.

We expect VLSFO to trade in a $580–680/MT range in 2026 absent a major geopolitical shock, which should keep BAF movements modest.

Run an instant quote to see today's live RoRo, shared-container and sole-use container price for your route. If you're price sensitive and your car fits standard RoRo, book the next sailing — RoRo rates rarely fall and capacity tightens fast on popular lanes. If you're shipping a high-value, non-running or classic vehicle, take the shared or sole-use container option and we'll co-ordinate UK collection, consolidation, loading and destination clearance.

Our coordinators are available by phone, WhatsApp and email Monday–Saturday for route-specific advice, document checks and live sailing availability. Most quotes are booked within 48 hours of issue, with the first available sailing 7–14 days after deposit.